Saturday, December 25, 2010
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Momentum Getting Better And Better. Turnover Still Low.
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
December Month - An Accumulation Month ???
Thursday, November 25, 2010
FBM-KLCI Still In The Safe Zone ????
Monday, November 15, 2010
Are The Bulls For The FBM-KLCI Is Resting ?
No doubt the index might have some pullback due to some external sentiments (ie. china inflation fears), they tend to create more opportunity to buy at cheapest rate. For those who have lost their opportunity to trade recently, this would be the best time to bargain at lower price.
From my point of views, I don't think so that our share market will just ended their momentum at current level. From the overall performance our share market seems to have enough energy to go even higher. Candlestick indicator still looks not good enough. We must be careful all the time because any major reversal towards the world equities market, we might have the same impact as well.
Hope for the best.
Friday, November 12, 2010
FBM-KLCI Must Maintain At 1,500 Points And Above?
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Dow Jones Fighting Its Strongest Resistance Level?
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Dow Jones Is Reaching Near Their Strongest Resistance At 11,200 Points.
Turnover or the volume done still looks not big enough. I was looking at around 2 billion shares traded for a day. With the big turnover done, we might have a big Bull Run around the corner. At these moments there isn't any major negative news might occur but a precautions measure needs to be implement towards the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
No doubt the Dow Jones Industrial Average looks very nice but their index is reaching near their strongest hurdle or resistance at 11,200 points. If the Dow Jones manage to cross over that level with huge turnover done then we might have Bullish sentiment around the world equities market. This might help the Malaysian share market to move and break the New All Time High of 1,524.69 points set in 14th January 2008.
If the Dow cannot break that level of 11,200 points then we have to use a different approach to trade with this share market. Hopefully the Dow Jones didn't create a Double Top as there are few indicators showing weakening sign. To cancel that weakening sign the Dow Jones must move higher and higher.
Monday, October 4, 2010
Market Total Turnover Still Not Enough. Lack Of Interest ??????
A Billion turnover or volume done still didn't picture that the Malaysian share market was a good market to trade with. We might make some gains out of it but the gains were minimal. For those who manage to hold on to their shares, they are the one who can really make the profit out of it but remember, not every counter is moving up.
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Volume Must Build Up. Potential Lying Ahead For Speculation Counters?
Monday, September 13, 2010
FBM-KLCI Move Like Bullet Trains. Nothing Can STOP Them.
Wednesday, September 1, 2010
Same Old Story - FBM-KLCI At New High. Sentiments Still Not Good.
Friday, August 20, 2010
FBM-KLCI Create New High, Speculation Counters Cannot Perform?
Monday, August 16, 2010
Can The FBM-KLCI Continuing Their Uptrend Journey?
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
FBM-KLCI Might Be Consolidate In Near Terms?
As we can see this is not a bull run in the making. Looking at the FBM-KLCI right now, the index is now moving side way and if we take a closer look on the FBM-KLCI, the index show more negative sign. Sign of weakening because there were so many black candlesticks appear around these last few trading days.
In terms of Candlestick study, more blacker candlesticks appear shows that the share market maybe consolidate at these moments. How the share market likely to fare this coming week? From my point of view if we take a look on how the individual counter fares these few days, my suggestion would be stay out for a while because the momentum right now shows more weakening sign rather than showing more opportunity lying ahead.
Friday, July 30, 2010
Strong Support At 1,348 Points For FBM-KLCI.
Monday, July 26, 2010
FBM-KLCI At New High. Still Have More Rooms To Move On?
The FBM-KLCI major resistance of 1,348 points was easily crossover without any hurdle with a bit of volume to support the current movement. The FBM-KLCI now closed at 1,351.82 points, just a diferent of about 2 points from previous high of 1,349.92 points set in 04/05/2010.
I don't know how strong the FBM-KLCI is going to be but it seems that current sentiment suggested that the FBM-KLCI still have some potential to move higher but at this point, the FBM-KLCI might take a pause or to readjust their current running after hitting new high.
At these moments I won't call it that the Malaysian share market is in the Bull Run because current sentiment still suggested that there was not many speculation players inside and the current environment also suggested that it was not an easy market to make some return.
We can make some profit but we must know how to choose the right counters in order to make some return. Searching for a right counter need lots of attention and patient because not every counters are moving. Don't forget to watch how the Dow Jones Industrial Average movement because the DJIA still play an important role to determine the world equities market performance.
Thursday, July 15, 2010
Death Cross For Dow Jones Industrial Average. Becareful.
At these moments, I'm still quiet queerest whether we are really moving up according to the fundamentals? As they use to said, when the World Cup has ended, the share market would start to move higher. Can we use this statement?
Basically according to overall charts suggested that the FBM-KLCI was moving higher and higher but not every counters were moving accordingly with the index. Total turnover done for the Malaysia share market also stands at low. Right now we cannot assume that this is a Bull Run in the making.
No doubt we are seeing some healthy sign ahead, choosing a right and perfect counter would determine our gains. Again I would like to cautious everyone about the Dow Jones Industrial Average movement. Right now we can see that the DJIA is performing quite well but based on some few analysts projection, we are facing quite a dangerous situation. How bad is that situation? (bear in mind it will takes times for this thing to happen - downtrend) Please read this article to gain more knowledge about the DEATH CROSS. An Analysis of the Death Cross Sell Signal.
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
Dow Jones Industrial Average Forming Head And Shoulder ???
If we take a look on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) movement at this moment, things don't look quite positive if we study their chart.
Since the previous high of 11,200 points (set in end of April), the DJIA is experiencing some downturn and yesterday the index climb higher after down for few days already. Can we consider if there is some opportunity ahead in the world equities markets? At these moments I'm still doubt about it whether there is still an opportunity lying ahead. We just have to watch how the DJIA is going to fare these few days.
Looking at the DJIA chart, can you find any HEAD and SHOULDER in the making ????? I don't know whether they are forming the Head and Shoulder pattern. But if the formation was really a Head and Shoulder then it would be a very bad indicator for the overall world equities markets. We just have to be EXTRA careful on this matter. Head and Shoulder formation on the top is very very BEARISH indicator !!!
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Quiet Market Ahead For The World Equities Market ????
With the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing more weaknesses rather than healthier sign, we should be staying out for a while and watch how our share market is going to react against current situation.
With the on going 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa, sentiment still looks a bit quiet with most of the share market player still pay more attention towards this world prestigious football. Everyone is talking about football but less people are talking about share market.
Right now I don't have any comments towards the FBM-KLCI movement because I didn't foreseen any interesting indicator that will lead the share market to move higher but if we take a look for the past 2 to 3 weeks share market movement, we can notice that the share market has been moving up for quiet some time. Maybe it is time for them to take a pause .....
Saturday, June 26, 2010
Thursday's Sell-Off: Bad News for Bulls - Dow Jones Industrial Average
It is a widely held notion that previous support becomes resistance. Last week the 200 day moving averages acted as a floor for the markets. Now it is likely that those averages will act as a ceiling that will be difficult for the markets to go above.
Both technical and fundamental analysis demonstrates a market rally that is broken and the odds now favor another retest of the S&P 1040 level. With the 50 day moving in the direction of forming a death cross under the 200 day moving average on all the major indices, it is quite possible that the markets will decline back down to 1040 and 2139 for the S&P and NASDAQ respectively. Should those levels be breached, a plunge down to 875 – 950 on the S&P witnessed last June and July, will most likely be targeted.
With the price of gold touching an all time high of $1260 per ounce in the past week, it is another of those flashing red lights that says all is not well with our economy. There is much discussion whether this price rise is signaling inflation or that global fiat currencies are collapsing, or perhaps a combination of both events. It must be stated that the price of gold has quadrupled over the past ten years, while the S&P 500 has remained basically flat.
Much of the economic data recently has been negative. The housing and mortgage figures appear to be predicting another leg down for real estate. The jobs picture is not improving either. This is not an environment where one should expect to be able to buy and hold. While I remain long term optimistic, in the short run there are too many obstacles that could result in a significant price decline to ignore. We remain in a short term complicated trading environment for now.
Article from Seeking Alpha
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
1,300 Points Still Stand As The Main Support For FBM-KLCI.
Looking at recently huge movement, I was wondering whether the Malaysian share market was able to penetrate their strongest resistance level at 1,350 points. At these moments we might see some profit taking activities after recently upwards movement.
Overall volume or turnover done still didn't support that the bulls are coming but the good thing is the FBM-KLCI was able to stay above the 1,300 points. As long as this level was not broken then we might have some opportunity to search for any good counters to invest.
Monday, June 14, 2010
Can The Dow Jones Industrial Average Move Higher ?
Looking at the FBM-KLCI, the index is touching at their resistance level, so we have to take a look on how the index is going to move this week. Whether they can move higher or make a consolidation move, it is important to monitor the index closely?
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Accumulate During World Cup Games Going On????
Monday, June 7, 2010
Malaysia Flag Was Raising Half Pole And Upside Down?
As we can see the flag was raise at half pole only and it was upside down. Being a collation of the Selangor state government (Pakatan Rakyat), it is an unacceptable way to respect our country.
I still can remember when there was a blogger by the name of KICKdeFELLA. He was been jailed for few days for putting up the Malaysian flag upside down. He spent 4 days and 3 nights inside the jail.
Why was he being jailed ??? Here are some of his article that appear in his blog.
Nation In Distress (Article appear on August 2008)
Dear proud Malaysians,
No way we are going to raise the white flag, which is the symbol of surrender. We are raising our flag upside down because it is a sign of our nation is in distress.
It is not UMNO or BN who are in distress. UMNO is as bubbly as ever doing what ever their leaders know best for the country and BN as happy as ever playing supporting role to those UMNO leaders.
It is not the opposition parties who are in distress, they never been in a better state than they are now, governing five states and denying a two-third majority for BN in the Dewan Rakyat for the first time.
But it is the nation who is in distress. We are facing economic uncertainty and the citizens are facing all sorts of difficulties facing it. We are losing our competitive edge and we are losing our territories too.
It is sad to see our beloved Jalur Gemilang, the symbol of our Nation and its sovereignty flying upside down. I had anticipated the anger by my fellow countrymen watching our flag being raised upside down. It is internationally accepted that raising the flag upside down is a mark of state of distress. It is never a mark of disrespect.
I hope we can sway all the anger into trying to turn the situation so we can see our Jalur Gemilang flying high in the right way again.
But until we can do something about it, the reality is, our nation is in disarray. Let us not live in hypocrisy. Let us stare at the upside down Jalur Gemilang and let the reality strike us once and for all. If we do not join hand in hand in trying to make the politicians understand how we feel then how on earth can we blame them for saying they are doing what they think is best for us and the nation.
I do not ask you to take your protest to the street, I do not ask you to let your frustration kills the nation, I do not ask you to unleash you anger so it can burn down any chance of unification. But I beg you not to wait until we have to raise the white flag for our survival.
"Biar Putih Tulang, Jangan Putih Mata”.
Again I repeat, if you have a reason to disagree with the manner the country is heading, then you have a cause.
Raise your flag upside down and let those who can make the different know that this nation is indeed in distress.
However, you may not have the reason to listen to me, so why not you listen to what other fellow Malaysian has to say,
Hungary - Second Wave Of Financial Crisis Have Just Started ?
Last week, fears that the debt crisis could migrate to central Europe were stirred Friday after a senior Hungarian government official said the previous government had manipulated budget figures and lied about the state of the economy.
Hungary is among the countries in Eastern Europe hardest hit by the international financial crisis. In late 2008 it was forced to approach the International Monetary Fund for $25 billion in emergency financing
Well what really happens in Hungary was a domino effect around that region. If this statement by one of its senior Hungarian government official was true, the domino effect will keep on continue towards other country.
With this kind of situation, what should we do right now? Just monitor how the European equities and the DJIA performance. They are going to decide how the global equities market going to perform.
This week should be a week for us to cool down and relax. Watch 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa and monitor how our Malaysian shares market reaction towards the world equities performance. Right now I have no comments on our Malaysian share market performance as we all can see last week was a technical rebound. Selling on the run was a right decision after all. This week we will monitor the momentum of the FBM-KLCI.
Right now I will be waiting for any opportunity arises. In a downtrend market you tend to lose more rather you can win a lot. So keeping more bullets is much more better as we can shoot anytime when the opportunity arise.
Anyway just watch this video clip to make our self relax and I will guarantee you that you will laugh all the way ......... but ....sorry it was in Malay languages. The title of this video clip called " DUIT KECIL ". Any comments on this video clip .... please give a comment ....
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Any More Rooms For FBM-KLCI To Move Towards South Pole?
Saturday, May 29, 2010
Selling On The Run. Quiet Market Ahead?
Sometimes our comment also can easily make people feel a bit angry but some would appreciate it. For those who understand the share market very well, they would understand what I'm trying to write all the time. I have been involved in the share market since my first purchase during 1987 World Stock Markets Crash (Black Monday). I have learned a lot but still the mistake would eventually come and go. It is just that how well our patients and our actions will be (making a decision), it will determine whether we can win more or lose more.
Few of my articles lately argue quite well the behavior of our Malaysian share market movement and indeed it did help me a lot in terms of my speculation strategies. Those who choose to follow will benefit from it. I have been studying and watching the movement on our FBM-KLCI since 1995 until now. They always tend to move the same way all the time. Once there is a panic selling .... opportunity arise.
Last Monday (24.05.2010) my article "Technical Rebound Around The Corner" did mention that this week we can expect some technical rebound ahead. Inside my article I did mention that "any more sharps falls will be dealt as an opportunity to accumulate".
As I have mention Tuesday turnover and Wednesday turnover done was an opportunity to Catch A Falling Knife. For those who has accumulated the shares, they were smiling all their way until late Thursday where by our FBM-KLCI went up +20 points to close higher (technical rebound).
Right now, we still have to apply the same strategies " SELLING ON THE RUN ". For those who have accumulated the shares on Tuesday and Wednesday, they need to unload their shares as the world equities market still shows no sign of stabilizing. With the North and South Korean issue, PIIGS (European financial crisis), Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) suing Goldman Sach and the 2010 World Cup South Africa around the corner, the world equities markets might experiencing some zig-zag or a quiet movement ahead. There are so many bad news ahead and I'm expecting the FBM-KLCI will follow the same way.
From now on, we still need to monitor how the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the world equities market performance. Their movement will decide whether we still have more rooms or more opportunity ahead? No doubt they seem to be heading for downtrend channel still we need to open our eyes and look for more opportunity ahead.
Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Catching A Falling Knife?
Monday, May 24, 2010
Technical Rebound Around The Corner?
Looking at the share prices right now and the overall last Friday closing (Malaysian share market), its looks a bit tempting as most of the share prices has come down and most of them are in oversold position.
I think this week we might have some technical rebounds but it won't be overall counters that are going to move up. It will be selective; counters which have experience some sharp falls recently.
Thursday, May 20, 2010
FBM-KLCI Down -21.94 Points. An Opportunity?
Yesterday we can see some panic selling and some sell down happen in our market. Now the question is? Can we buy right now for another technical rebound? When the technical rebound will happen? Can the share prices move down some more?
Basically looking at the world equities markets performance right now, it is quite dangerous to go in. Any technical rebound play would only be considered once we have some huge panic selling activities all over our share market. During that time we can only consider to speculate because the Reward or the Return will be greater than the Risk.
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Lack Of Interest. World Equities Markets In The Correction Process?
Although we are seeing some continuing selling pressure from the world equities markets, yet our control Malaysian share market still stand tall. This is not a good sign and it shows that the Malaysian share market is not really following the world fundamentals. I won't be surprise if the FBM-KLCI break the 1,300 points.
Technical rebound already finish and right now would be the time to study the share market movement. We are not going to experience a huge fall but rather a bit by bit fall. A bit by bit that will bite us until we didn't realize that most of our holdings have created big holes (losses).
Looking at the current share market performance, it seems that we are facing lack of interest from among the players. Last few of my articles supported me well in terms of my suggestion what we would be facing in the near terms. Right now staying away from the share market would be the best strategies to adopt rather than searching for opportunities because the world equities markets still look unstable. Most of the world equities markets are experiencing some correction process and this correction looks quite dangerous in the near terms and we must be careful all the time.
Saturday, May 15, 2010
Why The Greek Financial Crisis Matters To Us
There is no doubt that the Greek crisis will have an effect upon our economy. California and other states, face many of the same economic challenges, which could mean that the problems that face Greece could very well be heading our way. If nothing else, the near 1,000 point intra-day drop in the U.S. stock market demonstrates nervousness in the markets as well as the strong link between what's happening in Greece and the rest of the world.
But stock market volatility is only a symptom of a much larger set of forces. First, there is the fact that just behind Greece awaits several other European countries in equally fragile predicaments. Collectively they are now being referred to as the PIIGS, which stands for Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. Even if the European Central Bank can bail out Greece, there's no way it can also shoulder the load for the other, much larger countries.
Secondly, these events demonstrate that the PIIGS, along with other developed nations, have been borrowing beyond their means. Just as the U.S. banks discovered, too much debt is as dangerous. Their situation is made worse by the fact that they have exploded their national debt in order to prop up their banks and their floundering economies.
Third, the value of the common European currency, the Euro, is crashing and probably will not survive very long — certainly not in its current state. A bad case of financial chaos may very well be the dominant situation in Europe. That would have the effect of making their goods much more competitive than American goods, thus threatening to forestall the U.S. economic recovery.
Fourth, these events are reminding everyone that the financial crisis is hardly over. We are now facing a contagious global sovereign debt crisis, which is feeding a massive case market anxiety around the world.
Nobody can say with certainty that we fully understand all the remaining risks. There is still the possibility of more unpleasant surprises ahead. If anything, this crisis is showing how fragile the world economy remains, while underscoring what many people have not focused on.
The financial crisis of 2008 was not caused by just a single event like the subprime mortgage markets, Wall Street abuses, or regulatory failures, or thirty years of poor economic policies in the U.S. and abroad. We are facing the perfect storm of financial upheaval around the world caused by all of these and other forces.
Most of all, Greece matters to us because America is on a similar economic and financial path. Imagine the reaction if Washington announced sharp cuts in government programs including Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, and or cuts in the salaries, benefits and pensions of federal government workers. Imagine the reaction if the rest of the world stopped buying our national debt and if the Treasury Department was forced to dramatically increase interest rates, thereby making our debt burden unsupportable.
It is astonishing that Washington is now adding on new entitlement programs, just as the European social welfare model is collapsing. If we stay on the course we're presently on, we may very well be forced to endure some of the same measures that Greece is now taking. We need to balance the budget by cutting government spending and growing the economy. We can do it now, in an orderly manner or later in a panic. But we will ultimately have to do it.
There is some cause for optimism, since the US has strengths and flexibilities that Greece does not and there is enough time for us to correct the current course. If we wake up to this reality now, we can avert the worst of it. But, if we do not see the writing on the wall and respond appropriately, all bets are off.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Selling On The Run ? Was It A Correct Decision?
Two weeks from now the DJIA (must not break 10,700 points) will give us a clearer picture as to where our investment must continue on. Whether we can still keep on continuing investing in the shares market or we must hold and wait for more opportunities ahead. At these moments holding lots of cash will be consider as the KING of everything.
Patients will play an important role to determine whether we have the advantages to win and strike more. Having a gun and simply open fire will only wasted our bullets but if we patients enough and aim the target perfectly, the rewards will naturally run in for us.
At these moments our Malaysian share market is experiencing some technical rebound and as usual SELLING ON THE RUN would be the best strategies right now. I’m not trying to be negative but to be more cautious against the current European financial crisis. Whether it was a correct decision or not, we have to judge it nicely. For me I don't like the current scenario in the European region. It looks quite tricky .............
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Sell On The Run. Share Market Might Not Stay Longer Enough?
Yesterday as we can see, the Malaysian share market has started to rebound after most of the counters have experiencing some downfall recently. I’m not talking about the performance of FBM-KLCI as the FBM-KLCI didn’t represent our whole market true picture compare to other regional markets around the world. I’m talking about the overall Malaysian share market performance.
Overall counters have started to rebound but for how long the rebound will be? From my judgement; I would expect the technical rebound will last in few days but this will based on how the DJIA and the world equities performance. Looking at the rebounds today, I would rather say the rebounds that are happening were just a technical rebound and it won’t last long.
It is true we are seeing that the whole world equities markets are power up just like super Bull Run but for how long? Don’t get caught by this huge rebound. It might be a Big Bull Trap. A trap that might hurt us even deeper.
We have to be careful because after this technical rebound, it would eventually bring down the share market movement and the prices will eventually move lower. Why? The overall sentiment was hurt by the crisis in PIGS country and one thing for sure this is just a beginning. Basically whenever the share market been hurt by the drastic fall down, it would take some time to heal the wound. But I’m doubt that the wound would be heal on fastest phase.
I might be wrong in the whole process but we have to be extra careful. My comment was based on my 15 years experience in watching how the whole markets behave. As I have mention, this comment was just totally my point view and we cannot take it that this outlook will happen. You have to judge it deeply.
Thursday, May 6, 2010
It Seems That The Bears Are Controlling The Bulls Right Now.
Whether how long the correction would be, it would depends on how the Bears will rule the world equities performance but it seems that it is quite difficult to determine how strong the Bears were. Right now we have to monitor whether there would be an opportunity arise? A technical rebound might emerge and it is not easy to catch or spot a counter that can easily rebound strongly. In order to catch a good rebound counter, we need to find which counter has already gone down a lot.
With the overall sentiments looks quite negative, it is advisable to ignore the current Malaysian share market unless we have some instinct that the counter we choose can really move up. As I have mention in my last few articles "Why I Wanted To Sell Before May", I did mention that if we build our portfolio during that time (Risk vs Reward), the Risk that we going to take during that time was high and it is not worth it at all. Today we can see there are so many counters going down bit by bit and some even went down up to double digits.
Whatever decision we make today will determine whether we can protect our portfolio and it is quite important that we know how to pull back when the share market is heading to the south. To have a negative feeling right now would eventually safeguard our investment and we will have to wait for another round of Bulls to emerge.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) performance still didn't pose any great danger at these moments as long as the DJIA able to withhold the important key level of 10,700 points. Breaking that level would eventually turn the DJIA into a bearish situation and it is not a good sign at all.