Wednesday, August 5, 2015

Dow Jones Maybe Heading For Big Correction???


Based on the chart and indicators reading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average might be heading for "Big Correction". After few months of speculation, it seems that the Federal Reserve is going to raise the interest-rate in near term.
 
If we examined the chart the DJIA is creating "Lower High" and "Lower Low". This is really a bad sign and the index also stay below SMA of 20 days, 50 days, 100 days and 200 days. Well prepare for this slaughter. It might be around 10 to 12 percent correction in the process towards 16,300 points (plus minus).
 
What will happen to Malaysia KLCI index? Right now it is a bit hard to know where our index is heading to due to uncertainties geo political situation surrounding the country. With the world oil prices tumbling and also the ringgit, I didn't see any good outcome in the near term.
 
 
Based on the chart if the KLCI managed to cross and stay above 1,736 point, we might have a chance that the index might try to climb towards 1,780 point (200 days SMA) but if we take a closer look, it seems the KLCI is moving side way.
 
With the DJIA showing more weaknesses, we have to be careful because any sharp drop on the Dow Jones, we might see the KLCI will follow through and move towards south.

Monday, July 27, 2015

FBMKLCI Show More Weaknesses Ahead. Becareful.


Based on my last posting I did mention that the FMBKLCI is gaining strength to move higher based on several indicators but since the whole last week trading it seems that the FBMKLCI is losing its momentum and it move a bit lower and lower with an indication it might be going down further more after turning up for almost 2 weeks.
 
Right at these moments the SMA 20 days moving average will stand as temporary support at 1,719 point. No doubt the index close at 1,720.76 point last Friday but the MACD daily Histogram still flashes RED. From my point of view we need to be careful because if the index cannot stay above the SMA 20 days this coming week it will have great potential moving towards 1,786 point.
 
Local political news still poised some threat as the 1MDB issue still have long way to go. What really happen right now whether the governments are doing the right things in sorting out the issue remain unclear but I'm piss off with the government shutting down the "The Edge Daily" and "The Edge Weekly" paper from publishing for 3 months. The governments are sucks and it is really unfair and didn't show any democracy at all.
 
What wrong with our Prime Minister? By shutting down the publishing, it would create more hatred toward our governments. I'm doubt the FBMKLCI will move forward if our governments are not transparent enough in solving these issues. 

Monday, July 13, 2015

KLCI Show More Positive Movement Lately?


It seems that after 2 weeks of political tension on 1MDB issues, Wall Street Journal Report on Prime Minister receiving billion of ringgit deposited into his account and latest news on Prime Minister's wife bank account deposited about 2 million ringgit.
 
The KLCI experiencing some huge movement going down sharply from around 1,738 point (02.07.2015) to create another new low at 1,685 point (09.07.2015) before rebounding solid for 2 days to close at 1,715 point.
 
Based on the technical chart reading it seems we are in the middle of technical rebound with the index showing more strength but based on candlestick reading we are in for trend reversal but with the current 1MBD and the Prime Minister issues going around, it is not advisable or encourage to get involved in this market sentiment with so many bearish news around.
 
We might have some counters moving up but it wont be long because most of the equities share prices still traded below 200 days moving average and it is a sign that some of the equities are still very week.